Emerging Markets Trade & Political Risk

Event Review

Delegate were treated to a world tour of political and economic risk, followed by solutions on how to identify terrorism risk and insure against political violence.  The final afternoon session tackled three very topical subjects - Basel II, bribery and corruption and investment treaties.

A cocktail reception was enjoyed by all for several hours after day one, offering the ideal opportunity to network with friends and colleagues from the market.

Day two addressed Islamic insurance, emerging trends in liquidity, new developments in credit and political risk markets plus an important corporate viewpoint of credit insurance strategies.  With two interactive roundtables, the second day caused major debate and discussion.

We very much look forward to welcoming everyone to EMTPR 2008.

Delegate quotes:

Regional analyses and economic forecasting were insightful and convincingly delivered.
AEGIS

Obtained valuable information I can use in formulating a concise business plan on the trade credit segment.
Wachovia Insurance Services

It was really a great experience for me to share views/opinions at an international platform with various intelligent minds.
Global Trade Finance Limited, India

Description

Following on from the success of previous years, this year's programme highlights terrorism, war and violent risks, fraud & transparency risks, Islamic insurance, ECAs, the private market and claims & losses.

This year's sponsors, we are delighted to announce, are ACE, Atradius, Ince & Co and ICIEC.  If you are interested in sponsorship opportunities, please email events@exportagroup.com

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Event Photos

Brochure

Programme

Day One
Tuesday, January 16, 2007

08.15 Registration

09.00 Welcoming speech
Charles Berry, Chairman, BPL Global

Regional Risk Overviews

09.10 15 years of transition: evolving nature and dynamics of political and violent risks in the CIS
Rafael Gomes, Deputy Head of Political Risk, Exclusive Analysis
• Towards the creation of the corporate state: understanding political risks in Putin's Russia
• Regime stability and succession issues in the Caucasus and Central Asia: mixed signals for investors
• Separatist conflicts in the CIS: promises of (more) violence
• Orange vs. Green: assessment of violent and non-violent civil unrest scenarios

09.50 Geopolitical risks and structural imbalances: The shadows over Asia"s growth outlook
Claire Innes, Managing Director, Asia Pacific Group, Global Insight
• Nuclear tensions; Asia's strategic lines redrawn
• The costs of growth: China's deepening structural imbalances
• Sectarian conflict in South Asia
• The risks of Asia's export addiction

10.30 Networking Break

11.00 Disentangling political risk in Latin America: managing uncertainty and exploiting opportunities
Daniel Linsker and Nicholas Watson, Americas Analysts, Control Risks
• The political outlook for 2007: is Latin America really turning left, and does
it matter?
• Economic growth and stability: too little, too late?
• Organised crime, drug trafficking and other security issues: managing risks in complex environments

11.40 Sub-Saharan Africa
James Ellery, Director, AEGIS
Domnick Donald, Senior Analyst, Research & Intelligence, AEGIS
• Rule of Law and Property Rights dictate viability
• Case Studies: Southern Sudan and Zimbabawe
• Does Africa Matter?
• Sub-Regional Prognosis

12.20 The Middle East: burgeoning opportunities, lingering threats
Charles Hollis, Managing Director, Business Intelligence Group, Kroll
• Liberalisation and reform: will the trend continue?
• What are the forces driving political change - oil, water, demography and faith
• Are the risks from terrorism and geopolitics overstated? What are the other risks facing businesses operating in the region?

Terrorism, War & Violent Risks

14.30 Identifying and managing terrorism risk to business
David Claridge, Managing Director, Janusian Security Risk Management
• The changing terrorist threat to business
• Quantifying terrorism risk
• Managing terrorism risk
• The corporate counterterrorist

15.10 Terrorism and political violence insurance for assets in emerging markets
Charles Berry, Chairman, BPL Global
• Terrorism, war risks and political risk: inseparable in emerging markets
• Only PRI insurers can cover emerging market terrorism risk effectively

Regulatory Issues

16.15 Basel II and its implications
Tony George, Partner, Ince & Co
• Basel II: an update
• Operational risk and credit risk
• Credit risk mitigation
• The opportunities for ECAs and insurers, and the risks

Fraud & Transparency Risks

16.55 Bribery and corruption - finding evidence of wrong-doing and seeking recompense
John Cassey, Director, Protiviti
• The inevitability and impact of corruption
• An invisible act
• Methods of detection and investigation
• Mitigating your losses
• Case study

17.25 Bilateral and multilateral investment treaties
Nina Hall, Senior Legal Counsel, Omni Bridgeway Emerging Markets BV
• Impact of investment protection treaty rights
• Why brokers and insurers should have regard to the rights granted
• What private legal recovery options exist because of the treaty rights

17.45 Close of Day One followed by cocktail reception

Day Two
Wednesday, January 17, 2007

Export Credit Agencies

09.30 Roundtable discussion of ECAs
Chairman: Patrick Crawford, Chief Executive Officer, ECGD;
Norm Kimber, Lead Underwriter & Senior Advisor, Political Risk Insurance, Export Development Canada;
Marc Murcia, Director of medium and long term department, Coface
Susanne With, Project and Business Development Manager, EKN
Irfan Bukhari ,Marketing Manager, ICIEC
• As market capacity grows, how do ECAs cope with the challenge of adverse selection by borrowers and remain financially self-sustaining?
• Should ECAs be allowed to pursue more flexible partnerships with market players?
• Would ECAs abandon their roles as lenders of last resort?
• Can they become more competitive without breaching their regulatory frameworks?
• Should ECAs pursue different risk/return profiles: national interest vs national content

Islamic Insurance

10.10 Islamic Insurance: the evolving market for Shari"ah-compliant insurance services.
Paul Clarke, Partner, PricewaterhouseCoopers
• "Takaful", the latest arm of Islamic Finance, what is it and why is it necessary?
• Products and structures
• The developing world market
• Challenges and opportunities

The Private Market

11.30 Emerging trends in liquidity, risk and pricing
Stephen Capon, Head of Country and Credit Risk Management, Ace Global Markets
• Outlook for market liquidity
• Refinance risk
• Potential shocks
• Any chance of sanity in pricing?

12.10 New developments in the credit and political risk markets
Mike Holley, Head of Specialised Credit Risk Solutions, Atradius
• Private buyers in emerging markets
• Taking supplier risk
• Currency risk

Corporate Viewpoint of Insurance

14.00 Global exports to emerging markets: credit insurance strategies - Latin American view
Eduardo Paz, Credit & Collection Director, Tenaris
• The portfolio approach to credit management
• Credit insurance as a tool for credit management
• Customer risk vs. political risk
• Strategies for credit risk coverage

Claims & Losses

14.40 Roundtable discussion:
Julian Edwards, Head of Product Line, Political Risk & Credit, Ace Global Markets;
Charles Berry, Chairman, BPL Global;
Robert Piller, Director,Aupres Consult;
Nick Robson, Partner, Head of Credit, Political and Terrorism,
JLT Risk Solutions;
Nina Hall, Senior Legal Counsel, Omni Bridgeway Emerging Markets BV
• Does insurance have a bad image due to instances of unpaid claims in the past? How justified is this?
• What can the industry do to rectify this?
• Where are losses and claims being seen now and in the immediate future?
• What is the effect on premia?

15.40 Close of conference followed by networking break

Venue

Accommodation

A preferential rate has been negotiated for you at Thistle Royal Horseguards.

Upon registration a booking code will be provided so you may take advantage of a special discount available at Thistle Royal Horseguards.

Please reserve your room directly with Thistle Royal Horseguards

Sponsors

Sponsorship opportunities including exhibition stands are available for this event.

To become a sponsor, please contact Tom Whitehead, Head of Sponsorship Sales at twhitehead@exportagroup.com.

Exporta's events have a global reputation, renowned for superb networking opportunities and educational presentations by high-profile speakers.

Time after time our events attract the leading companies in our market as sponsors.

See below for a full list of our Event Sponsors, Institutional Partners and Media Partners and click on the logo to visit their web site. 

Delegate Packs